CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR MAY 2025 AND A REVIEW OF  APRIL 2024.

The  Outlook for May 2025

May marks the end of the “Long Rains” season across much of the country, except for the Coastal and western regions, where rainfall typically extends into June. The outlook for May 2025 indicates that several parts of the country are likely to experience near-average to above-average rainfall, although a few areas, particularly over the North Coast and parts of Garissa County, are expected to receive below-average rainfall. Rains are, however, likely to continue into the June–July–August (JJA) season over Western Kenya and the Coastal region. Meanwhile, the cool and cloudy season is expected to set in over the highlands east of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi County. A gradual reduction in rainfall is anticipated towards the end of the month over the Northeastern and parts of the Southeastern regions. The month is also likely to be characterized by isolated severe storms over several parts of the country. Temperature is expected to be warmer than average over the counties of the Highlands East of the Rift Valley and Nairobi, the Coastal region, South Rift Valley, Southeastern lowlands and Northeastern parts of the country. The Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Central Rift Valley, Northwestern and parts of the Lake Victoria Basin are expected to have near average to cooler than average temperatures.

April 2025 Rainfall Review

April marked the peak of the Long Rains (March–April–May) season over most parts of the country, except for the Coastal region where the rainfall is expected to peak in May. Most areas received rainfall during the month, which was near to above average across the country—except at Mombasa, Malindi, Kitale, Lamu, and Msabaha meteorological stations, where below-average rainfall was recorded. The month was characterized by severe storms over several parts of the country.