CLIMATE OUTLOOK FOR AUGUST 2024 AND A REVIEW OF JULY 2024.
The Rainfall Outlook for August 2024
The forecast for August 2024 indicates that several parts of the country will experience generally dry and sunny conditions. However, the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, Central and Southern Rift Valley, and parts of the Highlands East of the Rift Valley are likely to receive above-average rainfall. The northwestern region is expected to remain generally dry, although some areas bordering Uganda and South Sudan may experience occasional rainfall that is anticipated to be above average. The Coastal Strip is likely to remain generally dry with occasional rainfall expected to be near to slightly above the Long-Term Mean (LTM) for August. Intermittent cool and cloudy conditions, accompanied by rains, are expected to prevail in the Central Highlands, Nairobi area, and parts of the Southeastern lowlands, western Kenya, and the Central and South Rift Valley. Additionally, temperatures are anticipated to be warmer than normal across most parts of the country, except in a few areas of West Pokot, where temperatures are expected to be near the LTM for August.
July 2024 Rainfall and Temperature Review
Several parts of the country remained generally dry in July 2024. However, significant rainfall was recorded in the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, Central and South Rift Valley, the Coastal zone, and the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi County. A few areas in the Southeastern lowlands, Northeast, and Northwest also received occasional rainfall. This rainfall was near to above the July long-term average in most regions, except in Nakuru, Lamu, Kakamega, Lodwar, Marsabit, Mombasa, and Mtwapa, where below-average rainfall was observed.
Intermittent cool and cloudy conditions were experienced over the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi County, as well as parts of the Southeastern lowlands. Maximum temperatures were warmer than average across most of the country, except in Kisumu, where temperatures were cooler than average. Minimum temperatures were also warmer than average throughout the country.