SEASONAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR OCTOBER, NOVEMBER, DECEMBER (OND) 2024.

1. HIGHLIGHTS
1.1 Rainfall Outlook for the October-November-December 2024 “Short Rains” Season
The Climate Outlook for the October-November-December (OND) 2024 'Short Rains' season indicates that the western sector of the country is expected to receive near to slightly above average rainfall while the central parts of the country and isolated areas over northeast and southeastern lowlands are predicted to receive near to below average rainfall. The Coastal region, most of the Southeastern lowlands and Northeastern Kenya are expected to receive below average rainfall. This will be driven by weak La Nina conditions which are likely to develop during September to November and persist into early 2025 and a neutral Indian Ocean Dipole. The distribution is expected to be poor over most parts of the country with prolonged dry spells and cases of isolated storms.
Temperature is expected to be warmer than average over most parts of the country, except over a few areas in the western sector where temperature is expected to be near normal.
Higher probabilities for warmer than average temperatures are expected over central and eastern sectors of the country.